The Part-Time numbers, while looking a little different still reflect a declining and then improving economy. It is a win win for both countries. The GOP? His longest break from Twitter was just 1.9 days without tweeting in June 2017, when, By comparison, Obama, who requested he be able to keep his Blackberry while in office, was given a "a military-grade phone without a microphone, camera, or location tracker that could not make or receive calls," according to, Trump has also largely eschewed many of the formalities associated with the public affairs side of the office. He has made many promises regarding how well various sectors of the economy will do, e.g., huge increases in coal jobs. I don't wish anyone to die but we can't keep our country shut down indefinitely. Actually, as we will see, they were wrong. Conservatives and President Trump think global warming is a hoax, especially that it is man-made. The DOW is often considered a "leading" indicator because the stock market in general reflects investors "expectations" of how the economy will be doing sometime in the future. The reason I introduced you to this concept is to keep everything else that follows in context. Because food stamps is a "lagging" indicator then the forces driving the observed changes are more than likely not going to change in the near future. Scott, you have failed to convince half the country about the evil Trump. The bottom line is that after the Great Depression of 1929 and until the Great Recession of 2008, the quantity and severity of recessions were small by comparison to what came before them. Why this ambiguity? President Trump's new order is issued a day before a deadline proposed in a relatedexecutive order issued by the Obama administration, which pointed out … This new chart shows a history of job openings, hires, and separations since the last few years of the Bush 43 administration to now. Another set of measures that tests a different segment of the economy is employment, or more specifically, unemployment numbers. Two, there is nothing "false" about a zero interest economy that saved the world. Jerusalem was de facto the capital already, I hope you knew. These FDA approved drugs have been the bread and butter of legal firms because they caused death, and serious side effects. The one on the left depicts how things stand about ten months into President Trump's term. POINT 9: False in its entirety. Was there a solution in the Paris accord? First, consider all of the yellow triangles, they mark the various recessions that have occurred since WW II.1 You should notice that the PR either flattens out or declines during most, but not all, recessions. Given the disastrous sequester brought on by the conservative elements in American society, the military lost a lot of its preparedness. For comparison, population growth for the 1990s was around 1.2% and productivity growth was 2.2%. The numbers are WAY against you. 4. Some fear he can issue secret pardons to his family and friends. Just to refresh your memory, I wrote: "POINT 7: Now why would you think Democrats would want to help Trump destroy America??? ". * I think Trump is doing an abysmal job on the domestic front. His brand of unapologetic confrontation and anti-establishment rhetoric proves enough to win over the US electorate. And yes, their job is not finding cures, but they don't really accomplish their primary task either. Vietnam 50 years later is a walking bomb field, thanks to LBJ. Full knowledge of these facts is considered the greatest safeguard and deterrent against sneak attack," reads the introduction of a NORAD guidebook published in 1970 [source: ­Hough]. It does put Israel on our side as it should. Scott Belford (author) from Keystone Heights, FL on March 03, 2019: "Because food stamps is a "lagging" indicator then the forces driving the observed changes are more than likely not going to change in the near future. " It's a basic disaster. Not one of those numbers is anything to brag about. The historical Participation Rate (PR) has quite a story to tell including how this nation thought about women. NO. Almost all of the data comes from official government sources although a few things such as consumer sentiment come from non-government but nevertheless industry-trusted reports. collected from a source. While giving a Nobel peace prize to Obama in his first year, not having done anything. Then growth settled down to about 3% until around 1998 when it accelerated again only to collapse in 2001. B: Remember Al Gores prediction that never happened. How often has Trump played golf since his inauguration and how much has it cost taxpayers? and see saws can't move forward. They have nuclear capability for defense if they are pushed by their neighbors. "What a disaster just like the solyndra loans to solar company..." - YOU forgot, Jack, this started out as a Bush initiative. Scott Belford (author) from Keystone Heights, FL on March 02, 2019: "Scott, you have failed to convince half the country about the evil Trump." Further, the Right (who like Trump) had the highest turnout ever while many minorities (who don't like Trump) didn't vote. President Trump was playing golf when major news networks called the 2020 election for Joe Biden. Trump has told more than 2,400 lies about the coronavirus pandemic, which only began at the start of 2020. On an average day, air traffic controllers handle 28,537 commercial flights (major and regional airlines), 27,178 general aviation flights (private planes), 24,548 air taxi flights (planes for hire), 5,260 military flights and 2,148 air cargo flights (Federal Express, UPS, etc.). "Today, Arizona's 11 … You and Trump apparently think a nuclear Iran is a good thing, Jack - SAD. In fact, ACA is good and the Ds and a few Rs helped preserve it. A few which come to mind are: 1. The next chart, GDP - 3, is related to the previous GDP charts in that the outcome of a growing GDP is a growing stock Market as well as the reverse. From no down, to negative amortization, and variable loans so low. That is a long enough response for this go-round. They are saying this weird outcome may be a timing issue coupled with state unemployment offices being overwhelmed and slow in processing. Scott Belford (author) from Keystone Heights, FL on March 05, 2019: It absolutely is what you prefer, Jack since you argue for the kind of economics that lead to those wild swings. I read and I think about what I read and I research. Given the WHOLE purpose of the deal that six countries, including Russia, signed on to was to stop Iran from getting the bomb, how can it be a "bad" deal since that is exactly the outcome from the deal? Polymath - Brad, you should look it up. What States do is their business so long as it doesn't violate the Construction or federal law or don't you believe in State's Rights? Deterrence was accomplished simply through the fact of NORAD's existence. And Trump against illegal aliens. Obama fixed that over time which resulted in great working relationships with our allies. But it will be as wasted as the first one because Trump is incapable of forming long-term plans and strategies and following through with them. Jack Lee from Yorktown NY on January 17, 2020: Scott, you did not answer my question. There will be active measures against the Russians attempt to get him elected again, so that won't be as effective either. At any given moment, roughly 5,000 planes are in the skies above the United States. As to proof in the pudding. We see that CnIP growth is slowly decreasing over time from 1.16%/yr during the Bush administration to 0.4%/yr in Trump's first year (that will probably grow some over the next three years). One is Real Median Household Income and the other is Real Disposable Income: Per Capita. The FRB has been working against the US this century. POINT 3: Who is "THEY you are talking about? The GDP measures the value of all of the services and end products manufactured in the US. Your success is based on America’s failure under Trump... Scott Belford (author) from Keystone Heights, FL on February 05, 2018: You are correct so far as the WH staff and Congress are concerned. You can see that the difference between the Bush and Obama administration reflects the fact that most of the decrease in Civilian Labor Force occurred right after Obama assumed office even though the causes for it happened months earlier. I didn't change the Stoplight Color yet. POINT 9: False in its entirety. We can't do that here because this is a unique situation in a peace-time economy. Are you saying that black unemployment increasing instead of decreasing is great news? - DIDN'T you read what I wrote? His Transits are D, H, and P, which will not change until 2019. And so anti racist? - By saying that, that means you think they ought not to be. If income exceeds spending, then the "deficit" is a surplus, a very rare occurrence (the last time was in 2000 under President Clinton). What made this recession drag on so long wasn't President Obama's fiscal policy, but businesses deciding not to invest; in past recessions, business picked up pretty quickly. It will be old when he is no longer a threat to America. and the passing of rhe USMCA trade deal? I have taken many courses in economics, etc, etc. It provides you a look at the trends of all of the measures that make up the employment picture.2 The percentages are the growth (or decline) in that measure. Eye-balling the chart would appear to show that the U-6 runs roughly 4 percentage points higher than the U-3, consistently over time. In raw numbers (keep in mind Trump only has 2 years in office) the stock market grew as follows: Jack Lee from Yorktown NY on March 01, 2019: The real collusion is on the Democrat side. (The yellow was from the fact that the participation rate was going down several months ago.). Because President Trump and his supporters have made it very clear in words and deeds that they are measuring themselves to Obama's legacy. If it is decreasing, then the economy is almost certainly recovering. You can't do it.". President Trump's first year record is on the low end of Republican administrations, but, since at first glance, it looks like growth might be flattening out, it remains to be seen if that can be maintained. What are they projecting? Trump isn't the first President to have individuals in his orbit be found guilty of crimes, but he's the first US President in decades to see this many friends and associates face potential jail time. We see that once President Obama stopped the downward spiral, by late 2009 job openings began to grow. For Trump to have been "stronger", it seems to me he would have had to gone to war with Russia, or at least sent American (Europe wouldn't go) troops into the Crimea. But apparently you don't, hence your criticism of it. ", This would change the April and May UE rates to go from 14.7% and 13.3%, respectively up to 19.2% for Apr and 16.1% for May (still a decline from April). According to BLS now, they "misclassified" people "employed not at work" rather than the correct classification of "unemployed on temporary layoff. Feinstein broke hearing protocol and sandbagged the hearing for political advantage. People supply the demand and people supply the workforce to satisfy that demand. It is easy to see what happened in 2008 and 2009 where this was not true. "Conservatives and President Trump think global warming is a hoax, especially that it is man-made. They could use our help but don’t need it. There is no other way. If separations exceed hires, even in one month, that is a major red flag. What is unnatural is the federal reserve keeping interest rate at zero percent for all those 8 years. How would you reflect on that? That was the point of the stimulus, to replace depressed consumer spending with government spending until the consumer spending took off again. Much of that spike is the result of automatic stabilization payments (e.g., unemployment benefits) that kick in when the economy tanks. The reason Trump won is because on the side of the GOP, they are engaged and are active and wants genuine change. Anthony Scaramucci, who was fired after 11 days. The overall yearly GDP is up and over the Obama years which never went above 3 percent all 8 years.... Are you still harping on how bad things are under Trump...keep it up. That means if the stock market (as represented by the DJIA or DOW) is heading south for a significant period of times (or collapses in a short period) then the economy is probably going to get worse as well. Many companies closed their doors to protect people - to the tune of 40 million laid off. Only time will tell if they cheat this time as well. On that last point, the world would be much better off if there were even more intellectuals who actually think about and analyze the issues rather than blindly follow their chosen authority figure (that applies to the far-Right and the far-Left). "In raw numbers (keep in mind Trump only has 2 years in office) the stock market grew as follows: Looking at JUST the two year point, the order is: "Raw data, also known as primary data, is data (e.g., numbers, instrument readings, figures, etc.) what do you mean by them ? For the longest time, the trade balance has been negative, meaning it has a depressing effect on GDP. We will see what happen in 2020. Your analysis of the elements mentioned is pretty logical, especially when it comes to the population growth which is being reversed by immigration block. How would you reflect on that? The soot provides condensation sites for the water vapor. Pretty Stupid, right? Jack Lee from Yorktown NY on June 05, 2020: Scott, stop with the Trump bashing. Why this way? They put Illegal Aliens, and even Convicted Illegal Alien Felons above their duty to America, Americans and Legal Immigrants. Now that people see what he is really like, he has only LOST votes among Ds, who won't make the same mistake twice, and Independents, who have left Trump in droves, and probably some Republicans. What credible person in our government or Russian government would get involved? Two years into the Trump anti-environment administration, America's carbon footprint, as one would expect, is rising rapidly. In many ways, the creation of NORAD was an act of Cold War propaganda. Your logic is flawed about Clinton; the Russian's, Comey, and Clinton's own flaws were why she lost. If that is the case, then that means April's unemployment rates was low. His first book entitled "The Art of the Deal" was published in 1987. The next level of detail is look beneath the gross GDP numbers. The next set of indicators measure different aspects of forces that drive economic activity or reflect what is going on. Finally, real per-capita disposable personal income is found by adjusting per-capita disposable personal income for inflation. I am reading Fire and Fury now. You don't even acknowledge much of what we write, and when you do this is your comments. The remainder comes from the Obama stimulus program that replaced depressed consumer spending with more government spending; it worked. $2 for 2 … 3. The US government has never been proactive, they are only reactive. In that last regard, much has been made of how much President Obama has driven up public debt. I find it interesting that when Trump actually tried to manage his business ventures, rather than receive royalties from his name, they largely failed, and probably for the same reason. It is in this period when native born births fell below the replacement level or 2.08 births per woman. He did it with the help of the left media and the progressives who thinks he is the Messiah. For the next 2 years, Trump will carry a 19/1 Essence. ", "Jet engine exhaust contains carbon dioxide, oxides of sulfur and nitrogen, unburned fuel, soot and metal particles, as well as water vapor. The pharma companies are not interest in finding cures. Jack Lee from Yorktown NY on June 04, 2020: That was the miss calculation by the CDC. That is how this virus will happen as well. The republicans let the president down, but the democrats let the country and its people down. Consequently, I organized this chart thusly. Sotu • What number is President Trump?-----Our mission is informing people properly. It is also of interest (Chart GDP-4), given today's political rhetoric, that using a little more meaningful metric, Deficit as a percentage of GDP, President Obama is doing quite well when compared to the conservative gold standard, President Reagan. This is what the charts tell me about the state of America at that point in time. After losing the 2020 election, President Trump refused to accept the will of the American people. Likewise, as in March 2009 after Obama announced his stimulus, the plummeting stock market reversed itself rather spectacularly simply based on the optimism generated by the stimulus. We need to reunite the two Koreas just like the two Germanies. Self-Righteousness - As in a more patriotic than thou mindset. There is no question most Americans want Trump taken down (before he brings down America), but the people who work at the FBI and State Department are professionals who rarely let their personal feelings get in the way of their job. He is a strong supporter of Israel and recognized Jerusalem as Capitol. It is the blue and purple states (WI, PA, MI, NC, and FL) who will most certainly flip (well, maybe not FL since they are so screwed up here).
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